Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.342398 8.112764 8.949893 9.930538 11.052102 12.299833 13.799925
2025-12-14 6.013854 6.977388 8.092432 9.489283 11.207948 13.273921 15.976574
2025-12-21 5.302666 6.357344 7.631186 9.303290 11.470822 14.228814 18.075095
2025-12-28 5.214492 6.446387 7.995595 10.122742 13.025320 16.936098 22.763096
2026-01-04 4.911053 6.216450 7.910415 10.320500 13.747835 18.588058 26.213701
2026-01-11 4.505584 5.808734 7.541731 10.077715 13.805762 19.276999 28.307714
2026-01-18 4.321127 5.676965 7.526322 10.313511 14.557726 21.050159 32.329958
2026-01-25 4.035739 5.380820 7.252460 10.140119 14.663850 21.822460 34.802458
2026-02-01 3.797995 5.133052 7.025317 10.009365 14.810926 22.659488 37.494308
2026-02-08 3.578342 4.895442 6.793525 9.846847 14.882102 23.364356 40.038915
2026-02-15 3.370264 4.661099 6.549193 9.641393 14.856119 23.887759 42.306232
2026-02-22 3.209437 4.486742 6.382912 9.544707 14.998915 24.717320 45.307021
2026-03-01 2.993278 4.223079 6.071953 9.202932 14.711042 24.772592 46.824497
2026-03-08 2.779349 3.952306 5.735065 8.794896 14.271049 24.496205 47.596598
2026-03-15 2.636786 3.783715 5.548975 8.626314 14.245344 25.012313 50.234180
2026-03-22 2.696444 3.932750 5.879185 9.369803 15.982820 29.281136 62.659223
2026-03-29 2.637591 3.889255 5.890318 9.548989 16.659385 31.451296 70.469511
2026-04-05 2.508008 3.724814 5.689863 9.328991 16.522818 31.834949 73.626738
2026-04-12 2.465812 3.700549 5.724094 9.542658 17.283750 34.335170 83.354401
2026-04-19 2.362090 3.569432 5.567481 9.385552 17.258027 35.008194 87.905557
2026-04-26 2.271626 3.456340 5.436090 9.267032 17.302215 35.854317 93.233077
2026-05-03 2.182194 3.341078 5.294939 9.119662 17.269524 36.507412 98.134300
2026-05-10 2.092030 3.220865 5.139176 8.933267 17.133579 36.883031 102.225179